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Enrollment growth slowing?

Original post made by a d d i s o n, Downtown North, on Apr 24, 2009

Kindergarten enrollment at Addison was down this year. No talk whatsoever of another bubble class. There was a reverse lottery but nowhere near the potential level of last year. Anyone know why?
- Did Addison students get preference in the choice lotteries?
- Were the choice lotteries public & published?
- Any similar stories from other elementary schools?
- Is enrollment growth slowing?

Comments (6)

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Posted by Erin
a resident of Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Apr 28, 2009 at 10:34 pm

Just got back from the Kinder information night at Hays where they told us that they have 81 enrolled for 80 spots. I don't think anyone was expecting Hays to be full this year, so no, I don't think enrollment growth is slowing. Maybe moving, but not slowing.

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Posted by George
a resident of Old Palo Alto
on Apr 30, 2009 at 8:46 am

Do you see all the For Sale signs in your neighborhoods? People are moving out of the area. They have children. They are moving to lower cost and lower tax areas. The golden goose is getting squeezed and it's starting to explode. Arnie doesn't get this. Neither does Barack. Welcome to capitalism boys.

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Posted by Erin
a resident of Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Apr 30, 2009 at 12:54 pm

Houses here will continue to turn over to families with young children unless our district's test scores start going down. Every house in my neighborhood except for maybe one in the past five years has sold to a family with children. It doesn't matter who moves out, just who moves in.

By the way, I have not seen any For Sale signs in my neighborhood recently.

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Posted by Resident
a resident of Another Palo Alto neighborhood
on Apr 30, 2009 at 1:04 pm

I agree with Erin. There may be many homes on the market at present, it is that time of year, and the reason they may be slow to move is because for many who want to move into Palo Alto they are also looking at the new housing. For many people the older homes and neighborhoods are not as attractive as the modern homes where no-one has lived beforehand which is a plus to some cultures. These people do not appear to be interested in lot size or yard space for children to play, but they are interested in lots of bedrooms and bathrooms with little community/family space in the home. The new homes being built just now are designed with this type of family in mind.

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Posted by Erin
a resident of Leland Manor/Garland Drive
on Apr 30, 2009 at 1:49 pm

Don't forget where the new housing is either - the Gunn attendance area. The older housing in the North that's slow to move? In the Paly attendance are. You can't deny that as a factor whether you agree with the rankings or not.

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Posted by OhlonePar
a resident of Duveneck/St. Francis
on Apr 30, 2009 at 2:29 pm

Turnover tends to be older families selling to younger families. Real estate has slowed down everywhere, but Palo Alto hasn't seen the price drops of other areas, so it's comparatively more expensive than it was.

That prices haven't dropped a lot says that there's still demand.

At this point, there's more housing stock in the south because of the new developments--that and the demand for Gunn mean that that's where there's going to be attendance growth--particularly as it's been hard to guarantee enrollment in the north cluster schools. Why pay a premium for Duveneck if you're getting shipped to Barron Park?

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