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Demographics, Depression & Destiny

Original post made by Sharon, Midtown, on Apr 26, 2009


Demand for large-lot single family homes will drop nationally from 56 million today to 34 million in 2025—a whopping reduction of 40 percent.

California's "golden" housing market will not be immune to the laws of such demographics and its housing values will deflate, and with it its huge state budget.
In other words, it just isn't the short-term effects of the recent-past "housing Bubble" that is causing a temporary state budget crisis.

There is a Great California Economic Earthquake to come.


From 1954 to 1970, for example, half or more of households contained two parents and one or more children under the age of eighteen.
In fact as well as in popular culture, the two-parent nuclear family formed the normative American household.
By 1981, when Ronald Reagan took office, two-parent households had fallen to just over two-fifths of the total.
Today, less than a third of American households constitute a two-parent nuclear family with children.

America's population has risen from 200 million to 300 million since 1970, while the total number of two-parent families with children is the same today as it was when Richard Nixon took office, at 25 million

It is much worse in the rest of the developed world------

"Fifty per cent of Japanese women born in the Seventies are childless.
Between 1990 and 2000, the percentage of Spanish women childless at the age of 30 almost doubled, from just over 30 per cent to just shy of 60 per cent.
In Sweden, Finland, Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, 20 per cent of 40-year old women are childless.
In Germany, 30 per cent of all women are childless.
In a recent poll, invited to state the "ideal" number of children, 16.6 per cent of Germans answered "None."Web Link

Comments (4)

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Posted by Walter_E_Wallis
a resident of Midtown
on Apr 27, 2009 at 8:28 am

Walter_E_Wallis is a registered user.

If we don't have children, other people will.


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Posted by Jacob
a resident of Stanford
on Apr 27, 2009 at 11:32 am



"Fifty per cent of Japanese women born in the Seventies are childless.


Between 1990 and 2000, the percentage of Spanish women childless at the age of 30 almost doubled, from just over 30 per cent to just shy of 60 per cent."

These are truly depressing statistics, pointing to the decline of "western civilization" as well as that of Japan.
China is also facing a geriatric time bomb in the near future combined with many more male than female children.

The US has pushed off the tipping point in terms of sheer numbers through immigration but many immigrants are not turning into the economic engine we hoped for, we can thank Ted Kennedy for that fact.




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Posted by Walter_E_Wallis
a resident of Midtown
on Apr 28, 2009 at 12:14 pm

Walter_E_Wallis is a registered user.

The Gods of the Copybook Headings

AS I PASS through my incarnations in every age and race,
I make my proper prostrations to the Gods of the Market Place.
Peering through reverent fingers I watch them flourish and fall,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings, I notice, outlast them all.

We were living in trees when they met us. They showed us each in turn
That Water would certainly wet us, as Fire would certainly burn:
But we found them lacking in Uplift, Vision and Breadth of Mind,
So we left them to teach the Gorillas while we followed the March of Mankind.

We moved as the Spirit listed. They never altered their pace,
Being neither cloud nor wind-borne like the Gods of the Market Place,
But they always caught up with our progress, and presently word would come
That a tribe had been wiped off its icefield, or the lights had gone out in Rome.

With the Hopes that our World is built on they were utterly out of touch,
They denied that the Moon was Stilton; they denied she was even Dutch;
They denied that Wishes were Horses; they denied that a Pig had Wings;
So we worshipped the Gods of the Market Who promised these beautiful things.

When the Cambrian measures were forming, They promised perpetual peace.
They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease.
But when we disarmed They sold us and delivered us bound to our foe,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "Stick to the Devil you know."

On the first Feminian Sandstones we were promised the Fuller Life
(Which started by loving our neighbour and ended by loving his wife)
Till our women had no more children and the men lost reason and faith,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "The Wages of Sin is Death."

In the Carboniferous Epoch we were promised abundance for all,
By robbing selected Peter to pay for collective Paul;
But, though we had plenty of money, there was nothing our money could buy,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "If you don't work you die."

Then the Gods of the Market tumbled, and their smooth-tongued wizards withdrew
And the hearts of the meanest were humbled and began to believe it was true
That All is not Gold that Glitters, and Two and Two make Four
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings limped up to explain it once more.

As it will be in the future, it was at the birth of Man
There are only four things certain since Social Progress began.
That the Dog returns to his Vomit and the Sow returns to her Mire,
And the burnt Fool's bandaged finger goes wabbling back to the Fire;

And that after this is accomplished, and the brave new world begins
When all men are paid for existing and no man must pay for his sins,
As surely as Water will wet us, as surely as Fire will burn,
The Gods of the Copybook Headings with terror and slaughter return!

Kipling was right.


 +   Like this comment
Posted by Sharon
a resident of Midtown
on Apr 28, 2009 at 12:42 pm



According to the German Government, given predicted demographics, the Muslim population of Europe will double from the current 52 million to 104 million in 20 years.
The report predicts that Germany will be a Muslim state by 2050 Web Link

Lets hope it follows the Turkish democratic model with separation of church and state.




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