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Actuarial Firm Projects McCain, Obama Healthy for Eight Years as President

Original post made by sharon on Sep 25, 2008


If the U.S. presidency were an insurance policy, both John McCain and Barack Obama would be cleared for coverage.

Obama has a history of smoking, and McCain is 72 years old with a history of skin cancer.
But neither candidate is a bad bet to live through two terms as president of the United States, according to a statistical analysis performed by an actuarial firm.

The analysis is similar to those used by insurance companies to determine the longevity, health and well-being of the people they insure.Web Link

Meanwhile Deans brother reaches for the ground.

Two liberal groups – one of them directed by a brother of the Democratic Party chairman Howard Dean – will begin running a graphic attack advertisement Thursday morning raising questions about Senator John McCain's health.
Showing vivid and unflattering images of the fresh scar that appeared on Senator McCain's face immediately after his last operation for melanoma skin cancer eight years ago.

Comments (3)

Posted by Left of Boom, a resident of Another Palo Alto neighborhood
on Sep 25, 2008 at 3:20 pm

Left of Boom is a registered user.

This seems pretty dubious since Bragg and Associates didn't have access to medical records. It's hard to imagine them doing more than looking into actuarial tables without detailed, specific information in the health records.

I also don't see how Bragg and Associates can state McCain will live healthy 8.4 years without assigning some probabilities to this estimate. Is it 8.4 years with a 66% probability, 4 years with 25% probability, etc.?

The American public should have real access to the candidates medical records to assess their fitness for office.





Posted by Just wondering, a resident of Another Palo Alto neighborhood
on Sep 25, 2008 at 3:24 pm

What about McCain's mental health issues? He attempted suicide while a POW in Vietnam--can he take the pressure? Will he crack again?
Don't forget his wife's drug addiction issues? McCain claims he did not know about it until almost the end? Is that true? Just wondering


Posted by Peter, a resident of another community
on Sep 25, 2008 at 3:35 pm

Bragg is an actuarial firm. This was just a stunt to get them some press coverage. Their numbers are not specific to any one person, just actuarial groups. Google them.


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