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National Polls: Skewed and unskewed
Issues Beyond Palo Alto, posted by Gary, a resident of the Downtown North neighborhood, on Nov 7, 2012 at 10:28 am

Looks like the biggest winner last night, after Obama, was Nate Silver and the composite poll blogs. Biggest losers? Karl Rove, who kept claiming to the losers on Fox that Ohio wouldn't go to Obama after Fox called it, and the poll losers were Gallup and Rasmussen (again.)

Karl and Republicans: you are no entitled to your own math. It is THE math that counts.

.......................................

From Fordham University's Costas Panagopoulos, director of the university's Center for Electoral Politics and Democracy.

"For all the ridicule directed towards pre-election polling, the final poll estimates were not far off from the actual nationwide vote shares for the two candidates," said Dr. Panagopoulos.

On average, pre-election polls from 28 public polling organizations projected a Democratic advantage of 1.07 percentage points on Election Day, which is only about 0.63 percentage points away from the current estimate of a 1.7-point Obama margin in the national popular vote. [...]

1. PPP (D)

1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP

3. YouGov

4. Ipsos/Reuters

5. Purple Strategies

6. NBC/WSJ

6. CBS/NYT

6. YouGov/Economist

9. UPI/CVOTER

10. IBD/TIPP

11. Angus-Reid

12. ABC/WP

13. Pew Research

13. Hartford Courant/UConn

15. CNN/ORC

15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA

15. Politico/GWU/Battleground

15. FOX News

15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics

15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics

15. American Research Group

15. Gravis Marketing

23. Democracy Corps (D)

24. Rasmussen

24. Gallup

26. NPR

27. National Journal

28. AP/GfK


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Posted by Ducatigirl, a resident of the Old Palo Alto neighborhood, on Nov 7, 2012 at 2:49 pm
Ducatigirl is a member (registered user) of Palo Alto Online

thanx , Gary. As usual, you're awesome.


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