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Original post made
on Jun 12, 2011
I predict the dominant power, Democrats, manage to gain more seats. Power begets power.
Let's see. If it is the opposite, I will be pleasantly surprised that a "citizens" redistricting actually worked as planned...
I hope you will be able to publish a map soon so that we can see if we want to make comments.
I looked at the rough maps at Web Link. The Congressional districts, while not rectangular, are at least oblong, in our area; the CA Assembly districts, while less so, are IMO an improvement; the CA Senate districts still have bizarre shapes and snakelike extensions. Needs work.
surprise me says: "I predict the dominant power, Democrats, manage to gain more seats. Power begets power... If it is the opposite, I will be pleasantly surprised that a "citizens" redistricting actually worked as planned..."
You are looking at it through a red filter, obviously. Or are you saying the Citizens Commission was a GOP plan? (hint: you're correct if you thought so!)
Are you implying the party in power is influencing the commission?
The commission does not represent blue California at all: look at the registration levels of Dems and Repubs vs the makeup of the commission. "The 14-member commission consists of five Democrats, five Republicans, and four commissioners from neither major party." That isn't anywhere close to truly representing California voters!
Reality is Dem: 45%, Rep: 30%, Ind: 20% not 5/5/4. Web Link
Your filter is off.
Try this lens: California is MORE blue than represented by redistricting of the past, formerly put in place by politicians to protect their own districts at the expense of true representation. Evidence: look at the statewide trashing that McCain and Whitman received. Look at how many statewide offices are currently held by the GOP (a big goose-egg.)
The citizens commission is just balancing it out without concern for incumbent protection. As the facts above point out, the commission is more partial to the GOP than our blue state warrants. Even so, without the wild gerrymandering, California's true (blue) color is more obvious.
Bet ya don't like that lens!!!
California and Illinois redistricting should pick up 8-10 house seats for the Dems, more than offsetting Tom Delay's illegal "mid-census" redistricting of Texas a few years ago. Don't know how it's shaping up in other areas of the country but I guess Dems will lose a few, but more than covered by CA & IL.
Biggest win if these maps hold: McNerney gets a safer seat out of a formerly swing district. Losers? Asians lose a bit of power in SF, Latinos lose a lot across the southland.
Oh yeah, the GOP is further cemented as a fringe party in California, as their unpopular policies are understood by Californian voters.
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