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Global warming may 'stop', scientists predict

Original post made by joe, College Terrace, on May 1, 2008


Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a "lull" for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions.

Global warming may stop, scientists predict The study predicts the IPCC's 0.3ºC temperature rise for the next decade may not happen
Melting icebergs: The study predicts the IPCC's 0.3ºC temperature rise for the next decade may not happen

The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged.

This would mean that the 0.3°C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature.Web Link

Comments (9)

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Posted by ol' lady
a resident of Midtown
on May 1, 2008 at 1:33 pm

Cracks me up...the template is that it would have cooled more and it WILL heat up more than if it weren't for mankind.

And, of course, it delays the Apocolypse a little bit into the future to give the GW crowd another chance to take over the world.

Just reinforces my belief that this is a religion. Did you know that "The World is Ending" has been around for thousands of years?


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Posted by Jane
a resident of Professorville
on May 1, 2008 at 2:08 pm

China has overtaken the USA to become the world's No. 1 industrial source of carbon dioxide, the most important global-warming pollutant, according to a scientific study to be published today.


The study and two others — one recently published and another coming — agree that China's carbon-dioxide emissions surpassed those in the USA in 2006. That's decades earlier than had been predicted by the International Energy Agency four years ago.


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Posted by mike w b
a resident of Duveneck/St. Francis
on May 1, 2008 at 2:44 pm

So Global Warming will pause for a decade, just in time for the world's economic superpower to debate over what to do about it. A very convenient truth indeed.

This means that the scientific consensus for the next decade will be that Global Warming is not happening, but man is causing it. Ever heard the one about the Yemeni Communist who declared, "There is no God, but Muhammed is his prophet?"


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Posted by Walter E. Wallis
a resident of Midtown
on May 2, 2008 at 6:03 am

...and of course the computer program upon which the whole warmie panic is based, the program that rationalizes major government control over our individual freedom of choice, predicted this? NOT!!


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Posted by a
a resident of Adobe-Meadows
on May 2, 2008 at 9:15 am

Jane,
And why is China producing so much pollution? To make goods for Americans. Stop buying Chinese goods and you've solved the problem. We live in a global economy. Wake up and smell the coffee Jane. You can do something about here.


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Posted by Paul
a resident of Downtown North
on May 2, 2008 at 10:07 am

Hold it, gang. This prediction comes from the same warmies we all know have been flat wrong all along. They're just as far off base if they become chillies. Time to invest big in air conditioner stock.


 +   Like this comment
Posted by Anonymous
a resident of Another Palo Alto neighborhood
on May 2, 2008 at 7:18 pm

How's the kool-aid? When someone measures a decade of significant cooling over the globe, I'll believe this.


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Posted by dave
a resident of Downtown North
on May 10, 2008 at 1:04 pm

Web Link has several charts one of which gives the global average surface temperature increase since 1880. The warming is almost 1 degree C in the 20th century (100 years). To get an idea of what this means consider that 1 heat calorie raises 1 gram of water 1 degree C.

Consider the volume of water down to 1000 Meters (some temperature measurements go that low). To raise that mass 1 degree C it takes a tremendous number of calories which means a very large shift in the energy balance of our planet. That energy had to come from somewhere. The most likely cause is an increase in greenhouse gases which impede the emission of infrared energy that the Earth emits to space. Thus more solar energy is being absorbed than radiated back out.

More data are being collected, but it will take more years to know conclusively whether our global temperature is going up or down. So far it looks like its going up.


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Posted by R Wray
a resident of Professorville
on May 10, 2008 at 5:56 pm

Dave, I don't see your point of "a very large shift in the energy balance of our planet". To raise a 1000-m column of water with a square cm cross section 1 degree would take 100,000 g-cal or 116.3 watt-hours. Since the solar flux at the surface is 0.10 watt/square cm, this would take only 1163 hours of full solar heating. Assuming an average of about 4 hours per day of effective full solar heating, in 100 years there are 146,000 hours of effective heating. Therefore, the shift in energy is less than one percent (1163/146,000). I think it's actually much less because I doubt the temperature change at a depth of 1000 meters is nearly as great.


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